Geometry of the Good × Contradiction Debt — Moral Topology (Preloaded + Trajectories)

Default: stylized moral terrain (theory). Optional: data-aligned surface + contours + residuals. Toggle static vs. compare trajectories. Axes: X=capacity_factor (trust), Y=effective repair R (fulfillment proxy), Z=rupture_probability = 1 − R/V (debt proxy).

Concept-to-data mapping

- X (Trust density): capacity_factor = mean(L, E, K).
- Y (Fulfillment proxy): effective repair R = repair_avg × capacity_factor.
- Z (Debt proxy): rupture_probability = 1 − R/V (monotonic with contradiction debt).

Interpretation: Higher X,Y with lower Z indicates a stable basin; lower X/Y with higher Z indicates rupture valleys.

Mode & layers

Static field Compare trajectories

Stylized GoG surface (theory) Data-aligned fitted surface (with contours) Label contours on fitted surface Residual overlay (data − theory) Pluralist/Utopian trajectory Authoritarian trajectory Collapsed/Anomic trajectory CSV cases

Pluralist Authoritarian Collapsed

Metric transforms & smoothing

Normalize X,Y to [0,1] (data) Logit transform Z (both theory & data) Smoother sigma (fitted surface)

If residuals shrink under transforms, divergence is likely measurement-driven; if they persist, that invites theory refinement.

Case filters & toggles

R/V < 0.30 (1–2 q) 0.30–0.45 (2–3 q) 0.45–0.60 (3–6 q) ≥ 0.60 (8+ q)

Show labels

Toggle any country-year; filters apply to the list and the plot.

Add a custom case

Enter CD inputs; we compute \(R_\text{eff} = \text{repair\_avg}\cdot \text{capacity\_factor}\), \(R/V\), and map to (X,Y,Z).

Case name

V_total (0–2)

repair_avg (0–1)

capacity_factor (0–1)

Optional X override

Defaults: X=capacity_factor, Y=R (effective repair), Z=1 − R/V.

Click any point for CD decomposition and GoG interpretation.