Interactive implementation of the GoG Contradiction Debt model. Change inputs, see V, R, D, R/V, and tipping flags update instantly. Project D across N periods with constant parameters. Export/Import JSON for replication.

• D(t+1) = D(t) + V(t) − R(t)
• V = Σ(scope × severity × salience) across domains (cap at 2)
• R = average(Ack, Reform, Compensation, Inclusivity, Fidelity) × CapacityFactor
• CapacityFactor = (L + E + K)/3
• Tipping rules: L<0.45, E<0.60, B>0.50, C>0.35, R/V<0.5 → any 2+ persisting ⇒ rupture window

Model structure reflects your write-up; use this tool to plug real cases, document sources, and evaluate predictive power. :contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}

The baseline scenarios (Haiti, Sudan, Ecuador) and the additional example cases added here (Afghanistan, Myanmar, Ethiopia) use illustrative values informed by publicly available human rights reports. These sources provide qualitative assessments of violations, governance and humanitarian conditions. The model maps those qualitative descriptions to approximate numerical scores (0–1) for each domain. Key references include:

• Afghanistan (Q3 2025): Human Rights Watch’s 2025 report notes that Taliban authorities intensified their crackdown on women and girls by banning education, employment and freedom of movement; arbitrary arrests and extrajudicial punishments were widespread【751949900405768†L121-L147】. The same report documents arbitrary detention and torture of journalists and critics【751949900405768†L200-L220】. These conditions informed high values for the “Security/rights” and “Rule of law/elections” domains and low repair scores.
• Myanmar (Q3 2025): Amnesty International’s 2024 report describes escalating internal armed conflict, with increasing military air strikes on civilians, arbitrary arrests and more than 6,000 deaths and three million people displaced【615640586644837†L74-L107】. The report also notes pervasive targeting of journalists and activists【615640586644837†L79-L83】. These findings justify the high violations scores and low legitimacy and repair values used in the example.
• Ethiopia (Q3 2025): Human Rights Watch’s 2025 country chapter states that government forces and militias committed serious abuses, including extrajudicial executions and attacks on civilians in the Amhara region【601107277686018†L101-L112】. Authorities harassed journalists and human rights defenders, and accountability efforts were inadequate【601107277686018†L111-L118】. These patterns informed the high violations scores and moderate repair factors assigned to Ethiopia.

All numerical values are approximate mappings of qualitative assessments (for example, a report describing “widespread extrajudicial killings” is mapped to a severity of 0.8–0.9). Users should adjust these values based on more precise data or expert judgement.